Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Dethrone Selig

Will anyone else grow tired of the Cubs playing the Reds 18 times in 2011?  How about playing the Pirates 16 times?  As Bud Selig and his minions discuss how to add more wild card teams, making the regular season less meaningful, I have decided to do my own reorganization.

Lets go back to 4 divisions, two in the A.L. and two in the N.L.  Each division will have a regular season winner, and each league will have two wildcard winners.  Both wild card winners in the N.L. could come out of the same division.  I like this, because it gets rid of the three division format which often leaves an outstanding team out of the playoffs.  The other advantage of the two division format is seeing more teams in your division, thus more games with different teams.  My format will call for only a slightly unbalanced schedule.  Here's how the N.L would work:

N.L. East:                                                            N.L. West:
Reds*                                                                   Cubs*
Pirates                                                                  Astros#
Mets                                                                     Rockies#
Phillies                                                                  Padres
Nationals                                                              Giants
Marlins                                                                 Cardinals
Braves                                                                  Dodgers      
Brewers                                                                DiamondBacks

The Cubs would play each team in their division 11 times and each team in the west 8 times.  Additionally, they would play a 3 game series against each team from one of the A.L. divisions.  The A.L. would look like this:

A.L West:                                                             A.L. East:
Angels*                                                                  Yanks*
Mariners#                                                               Red Sox#
A's                                                                         Toronto
Royals                                                                    Baltimore
Rangers                                                                  Cleveland
Twins                                                                     Rays
White Sox                                                              Tigers

As far as the playoffs go, I'm all for the 7 game series in the NLDS/ALDS.  Lets squeeze in this 7 game series with less days off for these teams.  No more days off during series play.  Make these teams use all 5 starters like they had to in the regular season.

By the way, in the above scenario, the Cubs and Reds won their divisions with Houston and Colorado winning the wild card spots.  In the A.L, the Yanks and Angels won their divisions, with the Red Sox and Mariners winning the wild cards.  Cubs go on to beat the Yanks in a 7 game World Series.  Sounds like a good 2012 to me!!

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Matt Garza

Matt Garza will be a Chicago Cub this year, and it seems that Cubs nation is split on how they feel about this deal.  There are two points a view about this deal:

1) We sold the farm - what happened to building our farm system!
The Ricketts are getting nervous about empty seats and negative press next year.  This deal brings a proven arm to a mediocre at best starting rotation.  The last thing the Ricketts need is an empty ballpark when they are trying to prove to the community and the state that crumbling Wrigley Field is a top tourist attraction and worth using millions of dollars in state taxes to renovate.  The Ricketts are gambling that Wood and Garza can bring enough stability to the pitching staff to contend with the Cards, Reds and Brewers.  This will keep the seats full and keep the Cubs relevant this summer.  However, we mortgaged the future just to contend in our division!!

2) This is what a farm system is for - the ability to acquire proven talent!
Matt Garza is reaching the prime of his career and is only going to improve.  He has the ability to become a dominant #1 for many years to come.  We gave up six prospects who have proved nothing at the major league level for a pitcher who has proven (in the toughest division in baseball) that he is the real deal.  In the last 3 years with Tampa, he has never had an ERA above 4.00, and has started 30 or more games each season.  He has learned to deal with his emotions and has successfully pitched in the post-season.

I for one am disappointed we traded six top prospects for Garza.  I agree with the many folks who feel Jim Hendry has assembled one of the better farm systems in the league.  Without strong farm systems, deals like this don't happen.  However, I think the price was a little to steep.  I really like the upside of Chris Archer and Jak-Ju Lee.  Brandon Guyer and Robinson Chirinos are also coming off outstanding years.  It goes without saying that you have to give up talent in order to acquire talent, so to me, it comes down to negotiating skills.  Throwing in five legitimate prospects for one proven commodity seems to high.  I was hoping the Cubs would take the attendance hit this year while continuing to field a young team. 

That being said, I hope I'm wrong.  These five prospects may turn out to be average players, with Garza dominating the weaker hitting N.L.  If that is this case, this turns out to be a great deal.  Even if a couple of these prospects turn out to be good MLB players, it's OK, if Garza dominates for the next 5 years.  Hopefully,what we have left on the farm is good enough to withstand the blow of losing these five kids.  Maybe Hendry made a great deal and it had nothing to do with attendance or Wrigley Field.  Maybe Chris Archer will never get over his wildness, and Jak-Ju Lee is another Cesar Izturis.  The other guys in the swap are older.  Maybe their past the point of quality returns?

These deals take a lot of time to play out, and they ultimately determine whether a GM stays or goes. There's a lot of luck involved here, so it's not always fair, but this league is very unfair and unforgiving, just ask the Royals, Mariners and Pirates.

Whats your take on this?